As many fans in the UK focus on club season-opening fortunes or debate forthcoming autumn internationals, the contest for World Cup 2027 qualification rages on unabated.
Chile secured their second consecutive appearance at the competition with a stunning playoff victory over Samoa last month, leaving only a single place left up for grabs for Australia by 2027. Meanwhile, the Paraguayan side surprised Brazil 39-19 in the first leg of their playoff.
The return match takes place on Saturday in the Brazilian city, near São Paulo, as Brazil's squad aims to follow their women's success and secure qualification for the first occasion.
Regardless of Paraguay completes a shock overall victory, or Brazil recovers following head coach Emiliano Caffera's departure, the participants for next month's Dubai qualification tournament will be confirmed. The Namibian team, the Belgian squad, and Samoa have already secured spots for the Dubai-based competition from November 8th to 18th.
Many other teams have also earned their spots. The Hong Kong China team achieved first-time qualification after defeating Korea 70-22 in the summer, and the Zimbabwean squad will return to the sport's most prestigious stage for the first time in over three decades by virtue of claiming victory in the African championship.
The consequence of Chile's playoff success ensures that Los Condores will face Italy for the first time next month during the autumn internationals, taking the place of Samoa who must participate in Dubai.
World Rugby's CEO described Chile an "exciting and fast-emerging force" in confirming the forthcoming fixture in the Italian city. While local the sport markets aim for larger crowds, rugby in Chile is buoyant. A sell-out audience of more than twenty thousand witnessed the qualifying win in Viña del Mar, and manager the national coach has led the squad on an improving path since taking over in 2018.
The fifty-year-old former Uruguayan prop has been making an impact for many years: recruited by the English club in the 1990s, he famously ran straight through England defense to touch down at the 2003 Rugby World Cup.
His impact as national coach has been equally powerful: Chile have risen to 17th, their highest-ever position. At the last World Cup in France, they were defeated four times, allowing 215 points and scoring 27, featuring a 71-0 loss against the English team.
Nevertheless, they proudly found the positives, and following the tournament draw in Sydney on December 3rd, the coach can begin planning seriously. They hosted Scotland last year, defeated 52-11 before 24,000 fans, and although they were defeated across two legs by the Uruguayan side in the initial qualifying round, they managed a narrow away victory in the Uruguayan capital.
Samoa, meanwhile, have participated in every World Cup since 1991, but are presently sitting in 16th place in the men's rankings. They were without a victory in the recent regional tournament, leading to qualifying disappointment versus Chile, and the need to meet teams like Belgium adds additional difficulty for the proud rugby nation.
Apart from individual nations' performances, it is worth noting how different the expanded competition will look in the next edition. For the first occasion, there will be a round of 16 with six groups of four rather than four groups of five. Pool-stage jeopardy is significantly reduced because the top four third-placed teams will also qualify.
The hosts, Australia, are now ranked seventh in the world, meaning they would miss out on top seeding and could meet one of South Africa, New Zealand, the Irish, the French, England, or Argentina in their group. They may rise into the top six during a busy November, however: England, Italy, the Irish squad, and France are their opponents, with a game against the Japanese team in Tokyo also scheduled for October 25th.
Wales, on the other hand, are teetering in twelfth place, with the Japanese side behind, and the consequences of falling to thirteenth and into the third seeding group are possibly significant.
An additional new dimension for 2027 is the participation of five teams from the Americas: the Argentine team, Uruguay, the United States, the Canadian team, and Chile – with either Paraguay or Brazil potentially making it six. From the governing body's perspective, American interest is positive, especially with the 2031 World Cup scheduled to be staged by the USA, and the host selection for the 2035 tournament was initiated last month.
First things first, however. The return match of Brazil v Paraguay prepares a four-team Dubai shootout, along with a potential standings change across the European nations in the coming month. No matter how things pan out, Chile's successful qualification for a second consecutive World Cup has undoubtedly made them as a clear success story.
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